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LIPTON OR BIGELOW?

The Hawthorn Group | 0 comments | by The Hawthorn Group

It may be “the economy stupid” but the latest NBC/Wall Street Journal poll shows that despite Republicans controlling the White House and Congress, they “didn’t have a clear advantage among voters who said the economy was the most important or a very important issue.” In fact, the survey is “a sign that many voters are […]

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A Post Election View From Across the Potomac

The Hawthorn Group | 0 comments | by The Hawthorn Group

To Hawthorn Friends & Family — While we’ll spend weeks pouring over who voted (and didn’t vote) on Tuesday (as well as during the up to six weeks of early voting) and why (and why not), we’ve had several requests for a “simple, clear summary of what happened.” It is below, with a first cut […]

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Election Eve Analysis

The Hawthorn Group | 0 comments | by The Hawthorn Group

To Hawthorn Friends & Family –             ‘Tis the day before the most expensive (and, possibly, most bitter) mid-term election in American history.  To borrow a phrase, in 36 hours “our long national nightmare” will be over (actually an even longer nightmare – the campaigns for 2020 – has already started).             We owe you […]

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Midterm 2018 Headlines

The Hawthorn Group | 0 comments | by The Hawthorn Group

Addressing the Kansas City Chamber and Kansas City Power & Light In the shadow of the architectural gem, Union Station, was privileged to address the Kansas City Chamber, Kansas City Power & Light and Hallmark Corporation on my measure of the midterms a week out. A photo finish is predicted in the governor’s race just […]

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Wave Election Forecasting

The Hawthorn Group | 0 comments | by The Hawthorn Group

To Hawthorn Friends & Family – Honored to participate recently at the National Archives forum on wave elections hosted by the U.S.Association of Former Members of Congress.  The discussion can be viewed on YouTube or on C-SPAN’s website.  In projecting the outlook for this year’s midterms, I observed that, looking back on the last 13 non-presidential […]

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Eyebrow-Raising November 7 Headlines

The Hawthorn Group | 0 comments | by The Hawthorn Group

To Hawthorn Friends & Family – We are approaching the home stretch. Contemplate these eye-raising headlines at dawn November 7 that will have you brewing another pot of coffee: 1) From the streets of Bakersfield? While Nancy Pelosi held the Speaker’s gavel not long ago, Republicans can do their California dreaming too. They wonder if the […]

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Election Landscape Updates

The Hawthorn Group | 0 comments | by The Hawthorn Group

As we survey the election landscape three weeks out the House is getting bluer and the Senate redder. Republicans are retreating in vulnerable congressional contests even conceding Kansas 3 to a Native American LGBT lawyer. Meanwhile. Mitch McConnell has ordered more Majority Leader business cards. North Dakota is breaking Republican. Manchin is likely to survive but tightening in […]

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Labor Rocked in Little Rhody?

The Hawthorn Group | 0 comments | by The Hawthorn Group

On the heels of Missouri’s astounding beatdown of its right-to-work law earlier this month, organized labor faces a formidable challenge in Rhode Island’s public union-disaffiliation campaign, an offshoot of the SCOTUS ruling in June, citing First Amendment grounds, that non-union workers cannot be compelled to pay dues to the labor group organized at their workplace.  […]

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West Virginia Political Drama

The Hawthorn Group | 0 comments | by The Hawthorn Group

West Virginia is a small state – and since it’s my wife’s home state (and the late Matt Reese’s), I must speak respectfully – but the political drama unfolding with the impeachment of the entire state supreme court has the makings of a novel. The state’s last flirtation with tossing out an elected official dates […]

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Reflections on Yesterday’s Voting

The Hawthorn Group | 0 comments | by The Hawthorn Group

To Hawthorn Friends & Family –           To all the commentary flooding the airways and web this morning (and even the few newspapers that still exist), let me add but three points:           First, despite self-claims of providing the margin, it is NOT clear President Trump’s endorsement made a/the […]

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